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WeightNameValue
1000 Titel
  • Identifying drivers of change and predicting future land-use impacts in established farmlands
1000 Autor/in
  1. Wartenberg, A. C. |
  2. Moanga, D. |
  3. Butsic, V. |
1000 Erscheinungsjahr 2021
1000 LeibnizOpen
1000 Publikationstyp
  1. Artikel |
1000 Online veröffentlicht
  • 2021-12-22
1000 Erschienen in
1000 Quellenangabe
  • 17(1):161-180
1000 FRL-Sammlung
1000 Copyrightjahr
  • 2021
1000 Lizenz
1000 Verlagsversion
  • https://doi.org/10.1080/1747423X.2021.2018061 |
1000 Ergänzendes Material
  • https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1747423X.2021.2018061#supplemental-material-section |
1000 Publikationsstatus
1000 Begutachtungsstatus
1000 Sprache der Publikation
1000 Abstract/Summary
  • There is growing consensus that global food systems will need to undergo substantial transformations to ensure continued food security and to halt environmental degradation. Such efforts will have to include more sustainable management of existing farmscapes. Here, we examine drivers of cropland transitions between 13 crop commodities cultivated in Kern County, California. We parameterized multinomial logistic regression models of crop choices, using observed data from 2002 to 2018. We then simulated future crop choices under three scenarios exploring the consequences of climate change, water shortages and policy response, and projected impacts on three agroecosystem pressures (water-use, soil erosion, pesticide-use), and three agroecosystem services (profits, nutrition, and carbon sequestration). Agricultural land-use transitions were especially sensitive to biophysical factors, profits and neighborhood effects. Our results illustrate how climate change may lead to landscape-level crop replacement by 2050, with likely significant socio-ecological consequences.
1000 Sacherschließung
lokal profits
lokal water
lokal land-use
lokal Agriculture
lokal climate change
lokal ecosystem services
1000 Fächerklassifikation (DDC)
1000 Liste der Beteiligten
  1. https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/uri/IFdhcnRlbmJlcmcsIEEuIEMu|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/uri/TW9hbmdhLCBELg==|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/uri/QnV0c2ljLCBWLg==
1000 Label
1000 Förderer
  1. Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung |
1000 Fördernummer
  1. -
1000 Förderprogramm
  1. Alexander von Humboldt Feodor Lynen postdoctoral fellowship
1000 Dateien
1000 Förderung
  1. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung |
    1000 Förderprogramm Alexander von Humboldt Feodor Lynen postdoctoral fellowship
    1000 Fördernummer -
1000 Objektart article
1000 Beschrieben durch
1000 @id frl:6433361.rdf
1000 Erstellt am 2022-05-03T09:04:24.970+0200
1000 Erstellt von 317
1000 beschreibt frl:6433361
1000 Bearbeitet von 218
1000 Zuletzt bearbeitet Sat Dec 24 17:33:35 CET 2022
1000 Objekt bearb. Sat Dec 24 17:33:34 CET 2022
1000 Vgl. frl:6433361
1000 Oai Id
  1. oai:frl.publisso.de:frl:6433361 |
1000 Sichtbarkeit Metadaten public
1000 Sichtbarkeit Daten public
1000 Gegenstand von

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