Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)

  1. Frieler, Katja
  2. Lange, Stefan
  3. Piontek, Franziska
  4. Reyer, Christopher P. O.
  5. Schewe, Jacob
  6. Warszawski, Lila
  7. Zhao, Fang
  8. Chini, Louise
  9. Denvil, Sebastien
  10. Emanuel, Kerry
  11. Geiger, Tobias
  12. Halladay, Kate
  13. Hurtt, George
  14. Mengel, Matthias
  15. Murakami, Daisuke
  16. Ostberg, Sebastian
  17. Popp, Alexander
  18. Riva, Riccardo
  19. Stevanovic, Miodrag
  20. Suzuki, Tatsuo
  21. Volkholz, Jan
  22. Burke, Eleanor
  23. Ciais, Philippe
  24. Ebi, Kristie
  25. Eddy, Tyler D.
  26. Elliott, Joshua
  27. Galbraith, Eric
  28. Gosling, Simon N.
  29. Hattermann, Fred
  30. Hickler, Thomas ORCID logo
  31. Hinkel, Jochen
  32. Hof, Christian ORCID logo
  33. Huber, Veronika
  34. Jägermeyr, Jonas
  35. Krysanova, Valentina
  36. Marcé, Rafael
  37. Müller Schmied, Hannes
  38. Mouratiadou, Ioanna
  39. Pierson, Don
  40. Tittensor, Derek P.
  41. Vautard, Robert
  42. Vliet, Michelle van
  43. Biber, Matthias F.
  44. Betts, Richard A.
  45. Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon
  46. Deryng, Delphine
  47. Frolking, Steve
  48. Jones, Chris D.
  49. Lotze, Heike K.
  50. Lotze-Campen, Hermann
  51. Sahajpal, Ritvik
  52. Thonicke, Kirsten
  53. Tian, Hanqin
  54. Yamagata, Yoshiki

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1000 Titel
  • Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)
1000 Autor/in
  1. Frieler, Katja |
  2. Lange, Stefan |
  3. Piontek, Franziska |
  4. Reyer, Christopher P. O. |
  5. Schewe, Jacob |
  6. Warszawski, Lila |
  7. Zhao, Fang |
  8. Chini, Louise |
  9. Denvil, Sebastien |
  10. Emanuel, Kerry |
  11. Geiger, Tobias |
  12. Halladay, Kate |
  13. Hurtt, George |
  14. Mengel, Matthias |
  15. Murakami, Daisuke |
  16. Ostberg, Sebastian |
  17. Popp, Alexander |
  18. Riva, Riccardo |
  19. Stevanovic, Miodrag |
  20. Suzuki, Tatsuo |
  21. Volkholz, Jan |
  22. Burke, Eleanor |
  23. Ciais, Philippe |
  24. Ebi, Kristie |
  25. Eddy, Tyler D. |
  26. Elliott, Joshua |
  27. Galbraith, Eric |
  28. Gosling, Simon N. |
  29. Hattermann, Fred |
  30. Hickler, Thomas |
  31. Hinkel, Jochen |
  32. Hof, Christian |
  33. Huber, Veronika |
  34. Jägermeyr, Jonas |
  35. Krysanova, Valentina |
  36. Marcé, Rafael |
  37. Müller Schmied, Hannes |
  38. Mouratiadou, Ioanna |
  39. Pierson, Don |
  40. Tittensor, Derek P. |
  41. Vautard, Robert |
  42. Vliet, Michelle van |
  43. Biber, Matthias F. |
  44. Betts, Richard A. |
  45. Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon |
  46. Deryng, Delphine |
  47. Frolking, Steve |
  48. Jones, Chris D. |
  49. Lotze, Heike K. |
  50. Lotze-Campen, Hermann |
  51. Sahajpal, Ritvik |
  52. Thonicke, Kirsten |
  53. Tian, Hanqin |
  54. Yamagata, Yoshiki |
1000 Erscheinungsjahr 2017
1000 LeibnizOpen
1000 Publikationstyp
  1. Artikel |
1000 Online veröffentlicht
  • 2017-11-30
1000 Erschienen in
1000 Quellenangabe
  • 10(12):4321-4345
1000 FRL-Sammlung
1000 Copyrightjahr
  • 2017
1000 Lizenz
1000 Verlagsversion
  • https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017 |
1000 Ergänzendes Material
  • https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/10/4321/2017/ |
1000 Publikationsstatus
1000 Begutachtungsstatus
1000 Sprache der Publikation
1000 Abstract/Summary
  • In Paris, France, December 2015, the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) invited the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to provide a "special report in 2018 on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways". In Nairobi, Kenya, April 2016, the IPCC panel accepted the invitation. Here we describe the response devised within the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) to provide tailored, cross-sectorally consistent impact projections to broaden the scientific basis for the report. The simulation protocol is designed to allow for (1) separation of the impacts of historical warming starting from pre-industrial conditions from impacts of other drivers such as historical land-use changes (based on pre-industrial and historical impact model simulations); (2) quantification of the impacts of additional warming up to 1.5 °C, including a potential overshoot and long-term impacts up to 2299, and comparison to higher levels of global mean temperature change (based on the low-emissions Representative Concentration Pathway RCP2.6 and a no-mitigation pathway RCP6.0) with socio-economic conditions fixed at 2005 levels; and (3) assessment of the climate effects based on the same climate scenarios while accounting for simultaneous changes in socio-economic conditions following the middle-of-the-road Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP2, Fricko et al., 2016) and in particular differential bioenergy requirements associated with the transformation of the energy system to comply with RCP2.6 compared to RCP6.0. With the aim of providing the scientific basis for an aggregation of impacts across sectors and analysis of cross-sectoral interactions that may dampen or amplify sectoral impacts, the protocol is designed to facilitate consistent impact projections from a range of impact models across different sectors (global and regional hydrology, lakes, global crops, global vegetation, regional forests, global and regional marine ecosystems and fisheries, global and regional coastal infrastructure, energy supply and demand, temperature-related mortality, and global terrestrial biodiversity).
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1000 Liste der Beteiligten
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1000 Label
1000 Förderer
  1. European Union (EU) |
  2. German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) |
  3. Leibniz Association |
  4. Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, and Nuclear Safety (BMU) |
  5. U.K. Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS) and Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs (Defra) |
  6. Kanne Rassmussen Foundation Denmark |
  7. European Research Council |
  8. L'Agence nationale de la recherche (ANR) Institut Convergence |
  9. Nippon Foundation |
  10. National Science Foundation (NSF) |
  11. Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology |
  12. Chinese Academy of Sciences |
  13. Japanese Ministry of Education, Sports, Science and Technology |
  14. Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research |
1000 Fördernummer
  1. 603864; 603396; 641816; 642018; 689150; 642147
  2. 01LS1201A2
  3. SAW-2013-PIK-5
  4. 11_II_093_Global_A_SIDS_and_LDCs
  5. GA01101
  6. -
  7. ERC-2013-SyG-610028
  8. -
  9. -
  10. 1243232
  11. 2017YFA0604700
  12. SKLURE2017-1-6
  13. -
  14. 864.12.012
1000 Förderprogramm
  1. COST Action FP1304LK; Seventh Framework Programme (FP7) HELIX; RISES-AM; Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme; CRESCENDO; GREEN-WIN; SIM4NEXUS; CD-LINKS
  2. -
  3. EXPACT
  4. SURVIVE
  5. Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme
  6. -
  7. Synergy grant IMBALANCE-P
  8. CLAND
  9. Nereus Program
  10. -
  11. National Key Research and Development Program
  12. SKLURE Grant
  13. Program for Risk Information on Climate Change
  14. VIDI grant
1000 Dateien
1000 Förderung
  1. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer European Union (EU) |
    1000 Förderprogramm COST Action FP1304LK; Seventh Framework Programme (FP7) HELIX; RISES-AM; Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme; CRESCENDO; GREEN-WIN; SIM4NEXUS; CD-LINKS
    1000 Fördernummer 603864; 603396; 641816; 642018; 689150; 642147
  2. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) |
    1000 Förderprogramm -
    1000 Fördernummer 01LS1201A2
  3. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Leibniz Association |
    1000 Förderprogramm EXPACT
    1000 Fördernummer SAW-2013-PIK-5
  4. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, and Nuclear Safety (BMU) |
    1000 Förderprogramm SURVIVE
    1000 Fördernummer 11_II_093_Global_A_SIDS_and_LDCs
  5. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer U.K. Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS) and Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs (Defra) |
    1000 Förderprogramm Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme
    1000 Fördernummer GA01101
  6. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Kanne Rassmussen Foundation Denmark |
    1000 Förderprogramm -
    1000 Fördernummer -
  7. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer European Research Council |
    1000 Förderprogramm Synergy grant IMBALANCE-P
    1000 Fördernummer ERC-2013-SyG-610028
  8. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer L'Agence nationale de la recherche (ANR) Institut Convergence |
    1000 Förderprogramm CLAND
    1000 Fördernummer -
  9. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Nippon Foundation |
    1000 Förderprogramm Nereus Program
    1000 Fördernummer -
  10. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer National Science Foundation (NSF) |
    1000 Förderprogramm -
    1000 Fördernummer 1243232
  11. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology |
    1000 Förderprogramm National Key Research and Development Program
    1000 Fördernummer 2017YFA0604700
  12. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Chinese Academy of Sciences |
    1000 Förderprogramm SKLURE Grant
    1000 Fördernummer SKLURE2017-1-6
  13. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Japanese Ministry of Education, Sports, Science and Technology |
    1000 Förderprogramm Program for Risk Information on Climate Change
    1000 Fördernummer -
  14. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research |
    1000 Förderprogramm VIDI grant
    1000 Fördernummer 864.12.012
1000 Objektart article
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1000 Erstellt am 2018-06-28T11:53:37.027+0200
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