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1000
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Abstract/Summary
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MACSUR 1: development of a method to analyse farm and landscape scale impacts of CC, mitigation and adaptation effects: cropland dominated landscape, crop choice and soil management; climate model uncertainty - Now: test and improve the robustness of the method; grassland landscape, cropland expansion and livestock; uncertainty analysis; variability of weather conditions ; High spatial resolution creates interfaces to disciplinary models and indicators: Challenging data & modelling demand; Increasing productivity can increase intensification pressures; Threatened permanent (extensive) grasslands and landscape elements, but; subject to resource constraints, costs and prices; Future RDP and environmental policy design (e.g. WFD) may need to take changing productivity into account; Future research: analyze uncertainties & environmental impacts; Ensembles of crop and grassland models; Sensitivity analysis on economic input parameters; Qualitative surveys with agricultural experts and farmers
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