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1000 Titel
  • A crop model ensemble analysis of wheat yield sensitivity to changes in temperature and precipitation across a European transect
1000 Autor/in
  1. Pirttioja, Nina |
  2. Carter, T.R. |
  3. Fronzek, Stefan |
  4. Bindi, Marco |
  5. Hoffmann, Holger |
  6. Palosuo, Taru |
  7. RUIZ RAMOS, MARGARITA |
  8. Tao, F. |
  9. Trnka, Miroslav |
  10. Acutis, Marco |
  11. Asseng, Senthold |
  12. Baranowski, P. |
  13. Basso, Bruno |
  14. Bodin, P. |
  15. Buis, S. |
  16. Cammarano, Davide |
  17. deligios, paola |
  18. Destain, M.-F. |
  19. Dumont, B. |
  20. Ewert, Frank |
  21. Ferrise, Roberto |
  22. François, L. |
  23. Gaiser, Thomas |
  24. Hlavinka, P. |
  25. Jacquemin, I. |
  26. Kersebaum, Kurt Christian |
  27. Kollas, Chris |
  28. Krzyszczak, Jaromir |
  29. Lorite, I.J. |
  30. Minet, J. |
  31. Minguez, M.I. |
  32. Montesino, M. |
  33. Moriondo, Marco |
  34. Müller, Christoph |
  35. Nendel, Claas |
  36. Öztürk, I. |
  37. Perego, A. |
  38. Rodríguez, Alfredo |
  39. Ruane, A.C. |
  40. RUGET, Françoise |
  41. Sanna, M. |
  42. Semenov, M. |
  43. Slawinski, C. |
  44. Stratonovitch, P. |
  45. Supit, I. |
  46. Waha, Katharina |
  47. Wang, Enli |
  48. Wu, L. |
  49. Zhao, Zhigan |
  50. Rötter, Reimund |
1000 Erscheinungsjahr 2015
1000 LeibnizOpen
1000 Publikationstyp
  1. Kongressschrift |
  2. Artikel |
1000 Online veröffentlicht
  • 2015-05-11
1000 Erschienen in
1000 Quellenangabe
  • 5:SP5-46
1000 FRL-Sammlung
1000 Übergeordneter Kongress
1000 Copyrightjahr
  • 2015
1000 Verlagsversion
  • https://ojs.macsur.eu/index.php/Reports/article/view/SP5-46 |
1000 Publikationsstatus
1000 Begutachtungsstatus
1000 Sprache der Publikation
1000 Abstract/Summary
  • Impact response surfaces (IRSs) were constructed to depict the sensitivity of modelled spring and winter wheat yields to systematic changes in baseline temperature (between -2°C and +9°C) and precipitation (-50 to +50%) as simulated by a 26-member ensemble of process-based crop simulation models. The study was conducted across a latitudinal transect for sites in Finland, Germany and Spain. In spite of large differences in simulated yield responses to both baseline and changed climate between models, sites, crops and years, several common messages emerged. Ensemble average yields decline with warming (3-7% per 1°C) and decreased precipitation (3-9% per 10% decrease), but benefit from increased precipitation (0-8% per 10% increase). Yields are more sensitive to temperature than precipitation changes at the Finnish site while sensitivities are mixed at the other sites. Inter-model variability is highest for baseline climate at the Spanish site but is affected little by changed climate. Model responses diverge most under warming at the Finnish and German sites for winter wheat. The IRS pattern of yield reliability tracks average yield levels. Optimal temperatures for present-day cultivars are below the baseline at the German and Spanish sites suggesting that adoption of cultivars with higher temperature requirements might already be advantageous, and increasingly so at all sites under future warming. The study was conducted in the CropM component of the FACCE-JPI/MACSUR project.
1000 Fächerklassifikation (DDC)
1000 DOI 10.4126/FRL01-006413697 |
1000 Liste der Beteiligten
  1. https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/UGlydHRpb2phLCBOaW5h|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/Q2FydGVyLCBULlIu|https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2478-8050|http://d-nb.info/gnd/1079245189|https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9811-5065|https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4322-3450|https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0212-3381|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/VGFvLCBGLg==|https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4727-8379|https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1576-8261|https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7583-3811|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/QmFyYW5vd3NraSwgUC4=|https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2090-4616|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/Qm9kaW4sIFAu|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/QnVpcywgUy4=|https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0918-550X|https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9724-2812|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/RGVzdGFpbiwgTS4tRi4=|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/RHVtb250LCBCLg==|http://d-nb.info/gnd/137278721|https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8236-7823|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/RnJhbsOnb2lzLCBMLg==|http://d-nb.info/gnd/1147126089|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/SGxhdmlua2EsIFAu|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/SmFjcXVlbWluLCBJLg==|https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3679-8427|https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6843-3062|https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9235-8119|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/TG9yaXRlLCBJLkou|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/TWluZXQsIEou|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/TWluZ3VleiwgTS5JLg==|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/TW9udGVzaW5vLCBNLg==|https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8356-7517|https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9491-3550|https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7608-9097|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/w5Z6dMO8cmssIEku|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/UGVyZWdvLCBBLg==|https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7987-1623|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/UnVhbmUsIEEuQy4=|https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5407-8549|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/U2FubmEsIE0u|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/U2VtZW5vdiwgTS4=|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/U2xhd2luc2tpLCBDLg==|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/U3RyYXRvbm92aXRjaCwgUC4=|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/U3VwaXQsIEku|https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8631-8639|https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6653-5791|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/creator/V3UsIEwu|https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1533-7215|https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3804-9964
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1000 Erstellt am 2019-04-02T12:46:02.209+0200
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1000 Zuletzt bearbeitet Thu Jan 30 17:29:47 CET 2020
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