Download
elife-55570-v2.pdf 1,64MB
WeightNameValue
1000 Titel
  • Estimated effectiveness of symptom and risk screening to prevent the spread of COVID-19
1000 Autor/in
  1. Gostic, Katelyn |
  2. Gomez, Ana C.R. |
  3. Mummah, Riley O. |
  4. Kucharski, Adam |
  5. Lloyd-Smith, James |
1000 Erscheinungsjahr 2020
1000 Publikationstyp
  1. Artikel |
1000 Online veröffentlicht
  • 2020-02-24
1000 Erschienen in
1000 Quellenangabe
  • 9:e55570
1000 Copyrightjahr
  • 2020
1000 Lizenz
1000 Verlagsversion
  • https://dx.doi.org/10.7554%2FeLife.55570 |
  • https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7060038/ |
1000 Ergänzendes Material
  • https://elifesciences.org/articles/55570/figures |
1000 Publikationsstatus
1000 Begutachtungsstatus
1000 Sprache der Publikation
1000 Abstract/Summary
  • Traveller screening is being used to limit further spread of COVID-19 following its recent emergence, and symptom screening has become a ubiquitous tool in the global response. Previously, we developed a mathematical model to understand factors governing the effectiveness of traveller screening to prevent spread of emerging pathogens (Gostic et al., 2015). Here, we estimate the impact of different screening programs given current knowledge of key COVID-19 life history and epidemiological parameters. Even under best-case assumptions, we estimate that screening will miss more than half of infected people. Breaking down the factors leading to screening successes and failures, we find that most cases missed by screening are fundamentally undetectable, because they have not yet developed symptoms and are unaware they were exposed. Our work underscores the need for measures to limit transmission by individuals who become ill after being missed by a screening program. These findings can support evidence-based policy to combat the spread of COVID-19, and prospective planning to mitigate future emerging pathogens.
1000 Sacherschließung
gnd 1206347392 COVID-19
lokal Virus
lokal Human
1000 Fächerklassifikation (DDC)
1000 Liste der Beteiligten
  1. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9369-6371|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/uri/R29tZXosIEFuYSBDLlIu|https://frl.publisso.de/adhoc/uri/TXVtbWFoLCBSaWxleSBPLg==|https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8814-9421|https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7941-502X
1000 Label
1000 Förderer
  1. James S. McDonnell Foundation |
  2. Wellcome Trust |
  3. Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior |
  4. National Science Foundation |
  5. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency |
  6. Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program |
1000 Fördernummer
  1. -
  2. 206250/Z/17/Z
  3. -
  4. DEB-1557022
  5. PREEMPT D18AC00031
  6. RC-2635
1000 Förderprogramm
  1. Postdoctoral fellowship in dynamic and multiscale systems
  2. -
  3. Science without borders
  4. -
  5. -
  6. -
1000 Dateien
1000 Förderung
  1. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer James S. McDonnell Foundation |
    1000 Förderprogramm Postdoctoral fellowship in dynamic and multiscale systems
    1000 Fördernummer -
  2. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Wellcome Trust |
    1000 Förderprogramm -
    1000 Fördernummer 206250/Z/17/Z
  3. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior |
    1000 Förderprogramm Science without borders
    1000 Fördernummer -
  4. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer National Science Foundation |
    1000 Förderprogramm -
    1000 Fördernummer DEB-1557022
  5. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency |
    1000 Förderprogramm -
    1000 Fördernummer PREEMPT D18AC00031
  6. 1000 joinedFunding-child
    1000 Förderer Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program |
    1000 Förderprogramm -
    1000 Fördernummer RC-2635
1000 Objektart article
1000 Beschrieben durch
1000 @id frl:6419501.rdf
1000 Erstellt am 2020-03-27T14:21:40.484+0100
1000 Erstellt von 122
1000 beschreibt frl:6419501
1000 Bearbeitet von 122
1000 Zuletzt bearbeitet Fri Mar 27 14:24:37 CET 2020
1000 Objekt bearb. Fri Mar 27 14:24:37 CET 2020
1000 Vgl. frl:6419501
1000 Oai Id
  1. oai:frl.publisso.de:frl:6419501 |
1000 Sichtbarkeit Metadaten public
1000 Sichtbarkeit Daten public
1000 Gegenstand von

View source